The Oregon Health Authority reported 266 new confirmed and presumed COVID-19 cases and five new deaths Saturday, bringing the death toll in Oregon to 525 and 30,599 cases.

Multnomah and Marion counties had the most new cases at 40 each.

The Oregon Health Authority on Friday released new modeling suggesting the possibility that fewer Oregonians may become infected in coming weeks.

The modeling suggests that if transmission rates remain constant, the number of Oregonians infected could drop from about 360 to 190 a day by Oct. 8. Of those, an estimated 80 would be identified through testing.

But state officials acknowledged that the modeling released Friday came with more caveats than usual, not to mention that daily case tallies and the percentage of positive tests have been increasing in the past week.

Among the caveats: The latest software appears to be slightly underestimating cumulative cases for the past week and underestimating deaths since July.

Where the new cases are by county: Benton (27), Clackamas (14), Clatsop (3), Columbia (2), Curry (1), Deschutes (16), Douglas (6), Jackson (13), Jefferson (6), Josephine (3), Klamath (4), Lane (11), Lincoln (2), Linn (4), Malheur (22), Marion (40), Morrow (1), Multnomah (40), Polk (8), Umatilla (10), Wasco (1), Washington (23), and Yamhill (9).

New fatalities: State officials released a corrected death count Saturday after discovering one death had been counted twice due to an incorrectly reported date of birth. The previous total was reduced by one death.

A 93-year-old woman in Lane County is Oregon’s 521st COVID-19 death. She tested positive Aug. 26 and died Sept. 17 in her residence. She had unspecified underlying health conditions.

A 72-year-old woman in Jackson County is Oregon’s 522nd COVID-19 death. She tested positive Aug. 28 and died Sept. 15 at Providence Medford Medical Center. She had unspecified underlying health conditions.

An 81-year-old man in Morrow County is Oregon’s 523rd COVID-19 death. He tested positive Sept. 4 and died Sept. 14. The location of his death is being confirmed by officials. He had unspecified underlying health conditions.

A 97-year-old-woman in Marion County is Oregon’s 524th COVID-19 death. She died on May 10. The death certificate listed COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 as a cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death. She had unspecified underlying health conditions.

A 86-year-old man in Multnomah County is Oregon’s 525th COVID-19 death. He tested positive Aug. 16 and died Sept. 16 in his residence. He had unspecified underlying health conditions.

Who’s in the hospital: The state Friday reported 106 Oregonians with confirmed coronavirus infections are currently in the hospital, down three from Thursday. Oregon remains well below its capacity, with hundreds of hospital beds and ventilators available. Updated data for hospitalizations was not released Saturday.

Since it began: State officials have reported 30,599 confirmed and presumptive coronavirus cases since the pandemic began. In total, 603,311 Oregonians have been tested.

Brad Schmidt of The Oregonian/OregonLive contributed to this report.

— K. Rambo

krambo@oregonian.com

@k_rambo_



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